Poll says ruling party will win parliamentary electionsPoll says ruling party will win parliamentary elections.

Poland’s ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party would win elections to the Sejm, the lower house of parliament, and the Senate, with 36 percent of the vote, according to a new poll released on Tuesday.

The poll by Ipsos, commissioned by radio station TOK FM and investigative journalism website OKO.press, put PiS support at the same level as a survey on September 26, prior to a major opposition rally dubbed the ‘March of a Million Hearts’ on October 1.

The main opposition grouping, the centrist Civic Coalition (KO), recorded a marginal drop in support, from 29 percent to 28 percent, Ipsos said, with The New Left also down to 8 percent from 10 percent.

The far-right Confederation (Konfederacja) party could count on 9 percent of the vote, 2 percentage points up on the previous Ipsos survey, also for TOK FM and OKO.press.

The Third Way, a coalition of the centre-right Poland 2050 and the agrarian Polish People’s Party (PSL), recorded 8-percent backing, putting them on the threshold needed to secure seats in the Sejm.

The percentage of people unsure of who they would vote for remained unchanged at 9 percent.

According to the poll results, PiS would secure 207 seats in the Sejm, KO 156, Confederation 36 and The New Left and The Third Way 30 each. In such a scenario, the combined representation of KO, The New Left and The Third Way (216 seats) would not be sufficient to form a parliamentary majority, Ipsos pointed out.

The poll was conducted between October 6 and 9 on a sample of 1,000 people.

mk, PAP